Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000544 0.000618 0.000698 0.000788 0.000887 0.000993 0.001114
2026-02-08 0.000410 0.000510 0.000624 0.000762 0.000923 0.001105 0.001325
2026-02-15 0.000336 0.000446 0.000576 0.000741 0.000941 0.001176 0.001470
2026-02-22 0.000289 0.000405 0.000548 0.000737 0.000974 0.001261 0.001630
2026-03-01 0.000254 0.000373 0.000528 0.000737 0.001008 0.001344 0.001786
2026-03-08 0.000222 0.000342 0.000503 0.000728 0.001028 0.001408 0.001919
2026-03-15 0.000194 0.000314 0.000479 0.000717 0.001041 0.001462 0.002038
2026-03-22 0.000181 0.000304 0.000479 0.000737 0.001097 0.001571 0.002230
2026-03-29 0.000167 0.000292 0.000474 0.000749 0.001140 0.001664 0.002404
2026-04-05 0.000149 0.000272 0.000456 0.000741 0.001154 0.001718 0.002525
2026-04-12 0.000133 0.000253 0.000438 0.000730 0.001164 0.001764 0.002636
2026-04-19 0.000123 0.000242 0.000432 0.000738 0.001199 0.001846 0.002798
2026-04-26 0.000112 0.000231 0.000423 0.000740 0.001226 0.001919 0.002950
2026-05-03 0.000098 0.000210 0.000398 0.000715 0.001212 0.001932 0.003018
2026-05-10 0.000085 0.000192 0.000376 0.000695 0.001204 0.001952 0.003094
2026-05-17 0.000078 0.000181 0.000366 0.000691 0.001220 0.002007 0.003222
2026-05-24 0.000071 0.000173 0.000358 0.000691 0.001241 0.002070 0.003363
2026-05-31 0.000064 0.000162 0.000346 0.000683 0.001249 0.002112 0.003475
2026-06-07 0.000057 0.000151 0.000332 0.000672 0.001251 0.002146 0.003573
2026-06-14 0.000055 0.000150 0.000336 0.000692 0.001304 0.002258 0.003791
2026-06-21 0.000052 0.000146 0.000336 0.000703 0.001342 0.002350 0.003980
2026-06-28 0.000047 0.000138 0.000325 0.000695 0.001349 0.002391 0.004092
2026-07-05 0.000042 0.000129 0.000314 0.000685 0.001351 0.002425 0.004194